#2 Quora创始人Adam D’Angelo我们离AGI还有多远?武问西东

#2 Quora创始人Adam D’Angelo我们离AGI还有多远?

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亚当・德安杰洛(Quora/Poe 创始人)认为,距离实现远程工作自动化还有 5 年时间。阿姆贾德・马萨德(Replit 创始人)则认为,我们目前是在未理解智能本质的情况下,通过 “暴力破解” 的方式追求智能。

在这场对话中,这两位致力于打造人工智能未来的技术创始人,在几乎所有问题上都存在分歧:大型语言模型(LLMs)是否已触及发展瓶颈、我们是否已接近通用人工智能(AGI)、当入门级岗位消失但专家仍无法被替代时会发生什么。他们深入探讨了一个令人不安的现实:人工智能可能会在就业市场中造成 “中间层缺失”;为何旧金山的所有人突然都过度专注于赚钱,而不再进行新奇的实验;以及意识研究是否已让位于提示词工程。

Adam D’Angelo (Quora/Poe) thinks we're 5 years from automating remote work. Amjad Masad (Replit) thinks we're brute-forcing intelligence without understanding it.

In this conversation, two technical founders who are building the AI future disagree on almost everything: whether LLMs are hitting limits, if we're anywhere close to AGI, and what happens when entry-level jobs disappear but experts remain irreplaceable. They dig into the uncomfortable reality that AI might create a "missing middle" in the job market, why everyone in SF is suddenly too focused on getting rich to do weird experiments, and whether consciousness research has been abandoned for prompt engineering.