EP186 [全英] Is AI Going to Kill Us All?

EP186 [全英] Is AI Going to Kill Us All?

18分钟 ·
播放数13363
·
评论数28

Why Some AI Researchers Think There’s a 10% Chance

Imagine you’re about to board a plane, and someone tells you there’s more than a 10% chance it could crash.

Would you still get on?

Now imagine the plane is artificial intelligence—and the possible outcome isn’t a crash, but the extinction of humanity.

It sounds like science fiction. But some of the people building advanced AI genuinely believe the risk is real.

So where does that “10%” come from? What are AI researchers actually afraid of? And if the risk were real, would we ever choose to stop building?

In this episode, we talk about AI doomsday, alignment, superintelligence, p(doom), and the strange logic of an AI arms race.

也欢迎搜索微信号「xy-gungun」添加小助手,备注【Blend Inn】,加入听友群一起交流互动~

展开Show Notes
Milett
Milett
2026.9.23
Whoa what a such voice .
DWangDavid
:
😇
暴躁菁菁
暴躁菁菁
2026.9.28
公众号还没更新这篇材料吗
DWangDavid
:
最近工作量比較大,公眾號休更
很喜欢这一期哦~喜欢这种思辨类的讨论。
DWangDavid
:
❤️❤️
有零有整的预测更显精准哈哈哈。但是10%的概率就是那种听起来有道理,实际没啥实际意义的数字。哈哈哈个人意见。
DWangDavid
:
妳說的沒錯😂
这是AI在说吧?
DWangDavid
:
是我本人,AI會講的更完美😂😂😂
Itsuomi-
Itsuomi-
2026.9.22
🥰喜欢这期
DWangDavid
:
❤️❤️❤️
Este盐野
Este盐野
2026.9.22
super intelligence
DWangDavid
:
👍👍👍
Hanna__19
Hanna__19
2026.9.21
速速赶来🥰🫶🏻缓解我调休的不适🥲
DWangDavid
:
You’ll be fine 😇
HD1022988p
HD1022988p
2026.9.21
There are always different voices. Thank you for guiding us to develop us sense of language through daily English listening.
DWangDavid
:
❤️❤️
汶栩
汶栩
2026.9.21
morning~
DWangDavid
:
☀️😇☀️
莲璨
莲璨
2026.9.21
morning!
DWangDavid
:
☀️☀️☀️
晓霞_3uoK
晓霞_3uoK
2026.9.21
真的很想知道开头的音乐是什么
DWangDavid
:
Hhh 問了團隊 是用Suno AI做的音樂
HD655285v:Still AI😂
共4条回复
It's such a good topic to discuss, not because it's a current hot trend but because it's something we are facing and each of us might be hugely influenced by AI's progress.

Back to the question you asked at the beginning, I guess most people would refuse to board the plane if someone told them the plane would crash because they know / can imagine what they would face if there is a crash. By comparison, extinction by AI is beyond imagination, which might be the biggest reason why people cannot make any judgement on this. Take global warming as an instance: most people keep doing what they have been doing as "global warming" and "climate change" are out of their daily life. People can only understand what they are facing once they experience the consequences.

Another good point to discuss is to what extent the possibility of doom is acceptable. I guess different scientists, researchers, businesspeople, and AI users hold different opinions on it. I think the key is not the value of P(doom), but rather whether humans can control it, no matter how dangerous superintelligent AI might be.